Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.048726 0.056870 0.065820 0.076367 0.088436 0.101795 0.117684
2025-03-30 0.037326 0.048177 0.061202 0.077909 0.098687 0.123585 0.155578
2025-04-06 0.028443 0.040195 0.055457 0.076551 0.104746 0.140896 0.190480
2025-04-13 0.022316 0.034245 0.050874 0.075436 0.110409 0.157956 0.226920
2025-04-20 0.019252 0.031766 0.050329 0.079365 0.123002 0.185341 0.280090
2025-04-27 0.016643 0.029369 0.049351 0.082281 0.134232 0.211798 0.334668
2025-05-04 0.013594 0.025625 0.045597 0.080213 0.137429 0.226512 0.373235
2025-05-11 0.011437 0.022931 0.043021 0.079494 0.142390 0.244100 0.417584
2025-05-18 0.009463 0.020157 0.039811 0.077127 0.144146 0.256495 0.454567
2025-05-25 0.007961 0.017966 0.037252 0.075447 0.146697 0.270196 0.494660
2025-06-01 0.006965 0.016584 0.035959 0.075836 0.152829 0.290363 0.547259
2025-06-08 0.005891 0.014817 0.033618 0.073850 0.154257 0.302266 0.586321
2025-06-15 0.005462 0.014421 0.034050 0.077508 0.167007 0.336081 0.668212
2025-06-22 0.004828 0.013424 0.033056 0.078105 0.173835 0.359614 0.733461
2025-06-29 0.004111 0.012067 0.031049 0.076254 0.175469 0.373404 0.781630
2025-07-06 0.003536 0.010945 0.029383 0.074892 0.177914 0.388917 0.834361
2025-07-13 0.003330 0.010771 0.029940 0.078659 0.191750 0.428351 0.937294
2025-07-20 0.003092 0.010453 0.030090 0.081477 0.203783 0.465103 1.037725
2025-07-27 0.002653 0.009446 0.028317 0.079391 0.204487 0.478270 1.090975
2025-08-03 0.002332 0.008721 0.027159 0.078660 0.208207 0.498110 1.159617
2025-08-10 0.001996 0.007859 0.025469 0.076306 0.207772 0.508810 1.209601
2025-08-17 0.001729 0.007160 0.024117 0.074637 0.208784 0.522742 1.267580
2025-08-24 0.001558 0.006755 0.023549 0.075020 0.214936 0.548783 1.354144